Match

RSD Alcalá vs Salamanca UDS: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, Alcalá de Henares

RSD AlcaláSalamanca UDS

The Footlab model makes RSD Alcalá the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Salamanca UDS. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Salamanca UDS?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate RSD Alcalá (1,880) and Salamanca UDS (1,877).

RSD Alcalá win45 %
Draw28 %
Salamanca UDS win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RSD Alcalá have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Salamanca UDS have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026CD Coria(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Fuenlabrada(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Salamanca UDS
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Lealtad(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Burgos Promesas(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca UDS score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RSD Alcalá1.50.967/159/15
Salamanca UDS1.01.537/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6RSD Alcalá3414911423951

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RSD Alcalá vs Salamanca UDS?
The Footlab model makes RSD Alcalá the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Salamanca UDS.
Where and when is RSD Alcalá vs Salamanca UDS played?
RSD Alcalá vs Salamanca UDS is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: RSD Alcalá and Salamanca UDS

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