Conquense vs Real Ávila: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca
The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Real Ávila. The most likely score is 1-1. If Conquense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conquense vs Real Ávila?
On Elo ratings, Conquense has 1,960 points and Real Ávila 1,895.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Conquense vs Real Ávila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Conquense
Not enough data to predict the Conquense lineup.
Real Ávila
4-4-2- 9D. Lorenzo
- 12Carlos Pérez
- 30M. Sarr
- 7Runy
- 16M. Ruiz
- 8Filipe Sissé
- 23G. L. Urbina
- 5C. Pascual
- 22F. Garrido Diaz
- 3Michael Ngaah
- 1O. Lopez
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Real Ávila have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Conquense score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Ávila score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conquense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Ávila | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conquense sit 2nd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (13 points from 6 matches) and Real Ávila sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Conquense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
| 12 | Real Ávila | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Conquense vs Real Ávila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conquense vs Real Ávila?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Real Ávila.
- Where and when is Conquense vs Real Ávila played?
- Conquense vs Real Ávila is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027CF TalaveravsGimnástica Segoviana
- Apr 25, 2027Getafe IIvsAtlético Tordesillas
- Apr 25, 2027Real Valladolid IIvsA Madrid III
- Apr 25, 2027RSD AlcalávsSalamanca UDS
- Apr 25, 2027Atlético AstorgavsSS Reyes
- Apr 25, 2027CalamochavsCalvo Sotelo
- Apr 25, 2027Albacete IIvsNavalcarnero
- Apr 25, 2027GuadalajaravsNumancia