Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, General San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Chacarita Juniors the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Nueva Chicago. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Chacarita Juniors (1,701) and Nueva Chicago (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chacarita Juniors have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Nueva Chicago have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Agropecuario(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlanta(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 17, 2026 | All Boys(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chacarita Juniors win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Nueva Chicago win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Nueva Chicago 2-0 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Chacarita Juniors 0-0 Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Nueva Chicago 1-1 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Chacarita Juniors 3-1 Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Chacarita Juniors 2-3 Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Nueva Chicago 1-1 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Nueva Chicago vs Chacarita Juniors on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chacarita Juniors score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nueva Chicago score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chacarita Juniors | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Nueva Chicago | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chacarita Juniors sit 16th in Primera Nacional (27 points from 26 matches) and Nueva Chicago sit 14th (29 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 29 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 28 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago?
- The Footlab model makes Chacarita Juniors the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Nueva Chicago.
- Where and when is Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago played?
- Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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