Changchun Yatai vs Ningbo Professional: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Changchun's People Stadium, Changchun
The Footlab model makes Ningbo Professional the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Changchun Yatai. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Changchun Yatai vs Ningbo Professional?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Changchun Yatai (1,382) and Ningbo Professional (1,384).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Changchun Yatai have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ningbo Professional have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dongguan United(home) | 6-0 | League One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nanjing City(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yanbian Longding(home) | 2-3 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen(home) | 2-4 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(away) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Changchun Yatai win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ningbo Professional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Ningbo Professional 3-1 Changchun Yatai | League One |
Last archived meeting: Ningbo Professional vs Changchun Yatai on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Changchun Yatai score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ningbo Professional score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changchun Yatai | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Ningbo Professional | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Changchun Yatai sit 9th in League One (22 points from 19 matches) and Ningbo Professional sit 7th (25 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ningbo Professional | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Changchun Yatai vs Ningbo Professional?
- The Footlab model makes Ningbo Professional the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Changchun Yatai.
- Where and when is Changchun Yatai vs Ningbo Professional played?
- Changchun Yatai vs Ningbo Professional is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Changchun's People Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.