Match

Dongguan United vs Dalian Huayi: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)

Dongguan UnitedDalian Huayi

The Footlab model makes Dalian Huayi the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Dongguan United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dongguan United vs Dalian Huayi?

Dalian Huayi starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,359 vs 1,221).

Dongguan United win21 %
Draw22 %
Dalian Huayi win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dongguan United have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Dalian Huayi have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dongguan United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)0-6League One
Aug 16, 2026Hebei Kungfu(home)1-2League One
Aug 8, 2026Meizhou Kejia(away)2-3League One
Aug 1, 2026Guangzhou E-Power(away)1-1League One
Jul 25, 2026Wuxi Wugou(home)0-2League One
Dalian Huayi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wuxi Wugou(home)2-1League One
Aug 15, 2026Yanbian Longding(away)1-3League One
Aug 8, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(away)1-2League One
Aug 1, 2026Shaanxi Union(home)2-2League One
Jul 26, 2026Suzhou Dongwu(home)0-0League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Dongguan United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dalian Huayi win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Dalian Huayi 2-2 Dongguan UnitedLeague One
Oct 4, 2025Dongguan United 2-0 Dalian HuayiLeague One
May 25, 2025Dalian Huayi 1-0 Dongguan UnitedLeague One

Last archived meeting: Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dongguan United score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dalian Huayi score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dongguan United0.92.309/158/15
Dalian Huayi1.21.739/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dongguan United sit 16th in League One (11 points from 20 matches) and Dalian Huayi sit 11th (21 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Dalian Huayi19568253021
16Dongguan United202513204311

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dongguan United vs Dalian Huayi?
The Footlab model makes Dalian Huayi the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Dongguan United.
Where and when is Dongguan United vs Dalian Huayi played?
Dongguan United vs Dalian Huayi is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dongguan United and Dalian Huayi

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