Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Kejia: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Shenzhen Juniors the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Meizhou Kejia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Kejia?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Shenzhen Juniors (1,395) and Meizhou Kejia (1,306).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shenzhen Juniors have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Meizhou Kejia have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nanjing City(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ningbo Professional(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Yanbian Longding(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wuxi Wugou(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dongguan United(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yanbian Longding(away) | 1-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Shenzhen Juniors win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Meizhou Kejia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia 1-4 Shenzhen Juniors | League One |
Last archived meeting: Meizhou Kejia vs Shenzhen Juniors on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shenzhen Juniors score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Meizhou Kejia score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Juniors | 1.4 | 1.1 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Meizhou Kejia | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shenzhen Juniors sit 2nd in League One (36 points from 20 matches) and Meizhou Kejia sit 15th (11 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 36 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 40 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Kejia?
- The Footlab model makes Shenzhen Juniors the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Meizhou Kejia.
- Where and when is Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Kejia played?
- Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Kejia is played on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.