Match

Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Wujiang Stadium, Suzhou

Suzhou DongwuNanjing City

The Footlab model makes Suzhou Dongwu the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Nanjing City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Suzhou Dongwu (1,345) and Nanjing City (1,316).

Suzhou Dongwu win43 %
Draw30 %
Nanjing City win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Suzhou Dongwu have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Nanjing City have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Suzhou Dongwu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Guangxi Hengchen(away)3-3League One
Aug 16, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(home)0-0League One
Aug 8, 2026Changchun Yatai(home)2-1League One
Aug 2, 2026Meizhou Kejia(home)1-0League One
Jul 26, 2026Dalian Huayi(away)0-0League One
Nanjing City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(away)1-3League One
Aug 16, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)1-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(home)1-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Yanbian Longding(away)1-1League One
Jul 25, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)1-2League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Suzhou Dongwu win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nanjing City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Nanjing City 1-0 Suzhou DongwuLeague One
Sep 27, 2025Suzhou Dongwu 1-0 Nanjing CityLeague One
May 16, 2025Nanjing City 2-1 Suzhou DongwuLeague One
Sep 8, 2024Suzhou Dongwu 2-1 Nanjing CityLeague One
Apr 21, 2024Nanjing City 2-2 Suzhou DongwuLeague One
Aug 20, 2023Nanjing City 2-1 Suzhou DongwuLeague One

Last archived meeting: Nanjing City vs Suzhou Dongwu on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Suzhou Dongwu score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nanjing City score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Suzhou Dongwu1.11.559/158/15
Nanjing City1.01.239/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Suzhou Dongwu sit 14th in League One (16 points from 20 matches) and Nanjing City sit 12th (21 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Nanjing City20569192421
14Suzhou Dongwu20479172616

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City?
The Footlab model makes Suzhou Dongwu the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Nanjing City.
Where and when is Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City played?
Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City is played on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Wujiang Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Suzhou Dongwu and Nanjing City

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