Charleroi vs Anderlecht: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
The Footlab model makes Charleroi the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Anderlecht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charleroi vs Anderlecht?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Charleroi (1,987) and Anderlecht (2,024).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charleroi have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Anderlecht have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | PAOK(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Charleroi win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Anderlecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Anderlecht 1-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Charleroi 1-0 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Charleroi 0-1 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Anderlecht 0-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Charleroi 1-3 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Anderlecht 2-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Anderlecht vs Charleroi on Dec 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Charleroi score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Anderlecht score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Anderlecht | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charleroi sit 2nd in Jupiler Pro League (9 points from 3 matches) and Anderlecht sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charleroi vs Anderlecht?
- The Footlab model makes Charleroi the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Anderlecht.
- Where and when is Charleroi vs Anderlecht played?
- Charleroi vs Anderlecht is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.