KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Het Kuipje, Westerlo
The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for KVC Westerlo. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Truiden wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate KVC Westerlo (1,983) and St. Truiden (2,032).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KVC Westerlo
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bassette
- 14C. Sandra
- 7S. Saito
- 45I. Fofana
- 13I. Sakamoto
- 20C. Congreve
- 28D. Ourega
- 5S. Kimura
- 4A. Lapage
- 2L. Flø
- 99A. Jungdal
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1- 9S. Baždar
- 8A. Sissako
- 10I. Sebaoui
- 14R. Merlen
- 71R. Araki
- 38K. Matsuzawa
- 60R. Vanwesemael
- 5S. Taniguchi
- 3T. Hata
- 26V. Musliu
- 16L. Kokubo
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KVC Westerlo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; St. Truiden have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Antwerp(home) | 5-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 4-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 KVC Westerlo wins, 0 draws, 4 St. Truiden wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | St. Truiden 0-2 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 6, 2026 | KVC Westerlo 0-4 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | St. Truiden 0-3 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 5, 2025 | KVC Westerlo 1-3 St. Truiden | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 11, 2025 | KVC Westerlo 1-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | St. Truiden 2-0 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KVC Westerlo score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| St. Truiden | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KVC Westerlo sit 6th in Jupiler Pro League (13 points from 8 matches) and St. Truiden sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | KVC Westerlo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 8 |
A question about KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden?
- The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for KVC Westerlo.
- Where and when is KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden played?
- KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Het Kuipje, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.