KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Het Kuipje, Westerlo
The Footlab model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for KVC Westerlo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden?
St. Truiden starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (2,027 vs 1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KVC Westerlo have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; St. Truiden have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 0-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Genk(away) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-5 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 KVC Westerlo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 St. Truiden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | KVC Westerlo 0-4 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | St. Truiden 0-3 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 5, 2025 | KVC Westerlo 1-3 St. Truiden | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 11, 2025 | KVC Westerlo 1-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | St. Truiden 2-0 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 3, 2024 | KVC Westerlo 2-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KVC Westerlo score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| St. Truiden | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KVC Westerlo sit 18th in Jupiler Pro League (0 points from 3 matches) and St. Truiden sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | KVC Westerlo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden?
- The Footlab model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for KVC Westerlo.
- Where and when is KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden played?
- KVC Westerlo vs St. Truiden is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Het Kuipje, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.