Genk vs Club Brugge KV: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Genk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Genk vs Club Brugge KV?
Club Brugge KV starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (2,210 vs 2,029).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genk have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Club Brugge KV have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 4-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Genk win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Club Brugge KV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Genk 3-5 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 2-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 11, 2025 | Genk 0-2 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 1-0 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Genk 1-1 Club Brugge KV | Cup |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 2-1 Genk | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Genk vs Club Brugge KV on Dec 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Genk score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Club Brugge KV score 2.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Club Brugge KV | 2.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Genk sit 9th in Jupiler Pro League (4 points from 3 matches) and Club Brugge KV sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Genk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Genk vs Club Brugge KV?
- The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Genk.
- Where and when is Genk vs Club Brugge KV played?
- Genk vs Club Brugge KV is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.