Charlton vs Cardiff: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Valley, London
The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Charlton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cardiff wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charlton vs Cardiff?
Cardiff starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,015 vs 1,889).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Charlton vs Cardiff
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Charlton
4-2-3-1- 11M. Leaburn
- 9K. Ahearne-Grant
- 7T. Campbell
- 6C. Coventry
- 34O. Skipp
- 33Micah Mbick
- 5L. Jones
- 20D. McNamara
- 12Billy Dawson Koumetio
- 17A. Bell
- 13A. Okonkwo
Cardiff
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Salech
- 18A. Robertson
- 11O. Tanner
- 8J. Moylan
- 27J. Colwill
- 45Cian Ashford
- 38P. Ng
- 3J. Bagan
- 4G. Osho
- 48D. Lawlor
- 1N. Trott
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlton have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cardiff have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Watford(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Charlton win, 3 draws, 2 Cardiff wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cardiff 3-1 Charlton | Championship |
| Jun 30, 2020 | Cardiff 0-0 Charlton | Championship |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Charlton 2-2 Cardiff | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Charlton 0-0 Cardiff | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2015 | Cardiff 2-1 Charlton | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2015 | Cardiff 1-2 Charlton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Charlton score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Cardiff | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlton sit 13th in Championship (14 points from 10 matches) and Cardiff sit 19th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Charlton vs Cardiff?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Cardiff?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Charlton.
- Where and when is Charlton vs Cardiff played?
- Charlton vs Cardiff is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Valley, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.