Charlton vs Swansea: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Valley, London
The Footlab AI model makes Swansea the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Charlton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swansea wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,626 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charlton vs Swansea?
Swansea starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Charlton vs Swansea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Charlton
4-2-3-1- 23C. Kelman
- 9K. Ahearne-Grant
- 7T. Campbell
- 6C. Coventry
- 8H. Knibbs
- 34O. Skipp
- 5L. Jones
- 12Billy Dawson Koumetio
- 17A. Bell
- 20D. McNamara
- 13A. Okonkwo
Swansea
4-3-3- 30Joseph Okopu
- 7M. Widell
- 33A. Idah
- 4J. Fulton
- 6M. Stamenić
- 17Gonçalo Franco
- 14J. Tymon
- 23S. Welsh
- 26F. Lissah
- 5B. Cabango
- 22L. Vigouroux
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlton have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Swansea have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | QPR(away) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Charlton wins, 1 draw, 4 Swansea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Swansea 3-1 Charlton | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Charlton 1-1 Swansea | Championship |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Charlton 1-2 Swansea | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 2, 2020 | Swansea 1-0 Charlton | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2019 | Charlton 1-2 Swansea | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Charlton score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Swansea | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlton sit 21st in Championship (14 points from 14 matches) and Swansea sit 5th (26 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 26 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 14 |
A question about Charlton vs Swansea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Swansea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swansea the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Charlton.
- Where and when is Charlton vs Swansea played?
- Charlton vs Swansea is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Valley, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.