Bolton vs Wrexham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Wrexham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bolton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bolton vs Wrexham?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Bolton (1,961) and Wrexham (2,049).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bolton vs Wrexham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bolton
4-2-3-1- 10S. Dalby
- 8J. Sheehan
- 21E. Erhahon
- 20Ruben Rodrigues
- 7K. Dong
- 11T. Gale
- 22Gaizka Larrazabal
- 25M. Conway
- 6B. Davies
- 18E. Toal
- 31G. Bazunu
Wrexham
3-4-2-1- 19K. Moore
- 8B. Whiteman
- 3J. Ekomié
- 17C. O'Hare
- 10J. Windass
- 12I. Kaboré
- 27L. O'Brien
- 5D. Hyam
- 26Z. Vyner
- 2C. Doyle
- 22A. Patterson
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Wrexham have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 0-6 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Bolton wins, 2 draws, 1 Wrexham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Wrexham 0-0 Bolton | League One |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Wrexham 1-0 Bolton | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Bolton 0-0 Wrexham | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Wrexham score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Wrexham | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolton sit 17th in Championship (10 points from 9 matches) and Wrexham sit 15th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 17 | Bolton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
A question about Bolton vs Wrexham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bolton vs Wrexham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Wrexham.
- Where and when is Bolton vs Wrexham played?
- Bolton vs Wrexham is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Toughsheet Community Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.