Wolves vs Millwall: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Wolves the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Millwall. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wolves vs Millwall?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Wolves (2,000) and Millwall (1,966).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wolves have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Millwall have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Preston(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | QPR(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Antwerp(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wolves win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2017 | Millwall 2-2 Wolves | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Wolves 1-0 Millwall | Championship |
| May 2, 2015 | Wolves 4-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Millwall 3-3 Wolves | Championship |
| Mar 5, 2013 | Millwall 0-2 Wolves | Championship |
| Nov 27, 2012 | Wolves 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Wolves score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Millwall | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wolves sit 4th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Wolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wolves vs Millwall?
- The Footlab model makes Wolves the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Millwall.
- Where and when is Wolves vs Millwall played?
- Wolves vs Millwall is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Molineux Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.