Sheffield Utd vs Burnley: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bramall Lane, Sheffield
The Footlab AI model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Burnley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sheffield Utd wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Burnley?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Sheffield Utd (1,966) and Burnley (1,929).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sheffield Utd vs Burnley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sheffield Utd
4-4-2- 45P. Bamford
- 9T. Cannon
- 42Sydie Peck
- 22B. Brereton
- 7J. Rothwell
- 19T. Chong
- 5J. Tanganga
- 8H. Choudhury
- 15L. Kitching
- 3S. McCallum
- 1M. Cooper
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 9J. Vardy
- 29J. Laurent
- 3Max Alleyne
- 19L. Ramazani
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 5R. Hatate
- 44Igor
- 2K. Walker
- 23Lucas Pires
- 15A. Ahmedhodžić
- 37G. Coudert
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Utd have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Burnley have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sheffield Utd win, 0 draws, 5 Burnley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2025 | Burnley 2-1 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Sheffield Utd 0-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Sheffield Utd 1-4 Burnley | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Burnley 5-0 Sheffield Utd | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Burnley 2-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Sheffield Utd 5-2 Burnley | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Burnley vs Sheffield Utd on Apr 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Utd score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Burnley | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Utd sit 15th in Championship (12 points from 10 matches) and Burnley sit 21st (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 21 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Sheffield Utd vs Burnley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Burnley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Burnley.
- Where and when is Sheffield Utd vs Burnley played?
- Sheffield Utd vs Burnley is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bramall Lane, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.