Chatham Town vs Burgess Hill Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bauvill Stadium, Chatham, Kent
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chatham Town vs Burgess Hill Town?
Chatham Town starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chatham Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Burgess Hill Town have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Chatham Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Burgess Hill Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town 0-3 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Chatham Town 4-0 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Burgess Hill Town 0-1 Chatham Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Chatham Town 2-1 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Chatham Town on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chatham Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Burgess Hill Town sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chatham Town vs Burgess Hill Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Burgess Hill Town.
- Where and when is Chatham Town vs Burgess Hill Town played?
- Chatham Town vs Burgess Hill Town is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bauvill Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026DartfordvsEastbourne Borough
- Nov 7, 2026St Albans CityvsWelling United
- Nov 7, 2026RamsgatevsAveley
- Nov 7, 2026Three BridgesvsBrentwood Town
- Nov 7, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsCheshunt
- Nov 7, 2026Cray WanderersvsLeatherhead
- Nov 7, 2026Enfield TownvsWhyteleafe
- Nov 7, 2026Wingate & FinchleyvsMaldon & Tiptree