Chatham Town vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bauvill Stadium, Chatham, Kent
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chatham Town vs Carshalton Athletic?
Chatham Town starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chatham Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chatham Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Carshalton Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic 0-4 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Chatham Town 2-1 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Chatham Town 3-0 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Carshalton Athletic 2-0 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Carshalton Athletic 2-0 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Chatham Town 2-2 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Carshalton Athletic vs Chatham Town on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chatham Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Carshalton Athletic sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chatham Town vs Carshalton Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Carshalton Athletic.
- Where and when is Chatham Town vs Carshalton Athletic played?
- Chatham Town vs Carshalton Athletic is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bauvill Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026DartfordvsCray Wanderers
- Nov 28, 2026LeatherheadvsLewes
- Nov 28, 2026Brentwood TownvsWhitehawk
- Nov 28, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsEastbourne Borough
- Nov 28, 2026WhyteleafevsAveley
- Nov 28, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsSt Albans City
- Nov 28, 2026Three BridgesvsWingate & Finchley
- Nov 28, 2026CheshuntvsRamsgate