Czarni Połaniec vs Hetman Zamosc: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, Połaniec
The Footlab AI model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1. If Czarni Połaniec wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs Hetman Zamosc?
Czarni Połaniec starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,713 vs 1,575).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Czarni Połaniec vs Hetman Zamosc
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Czarni Połaniec
Not enough data to predict the Czarni Połaniec lineup.
Hetman Zamosc
Not enough data to predict the Hetman Zamosc lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Czarni Połaniec have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hetman Zamosc have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Czarni Połaniec wins, 0 draws, 1 Hetman Zamosc win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc 1-0 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Hetman Zamosc vs Czarni Połaniec on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Czarni Połaniec score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hetman Zamosc score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czarni Połaniec | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hetman Zamosc | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Czarni Połaniec sit 6th in III Liga - Group 4 (28 points from 16 matches) and Hetman Zamosc sit 3rd (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hetman Zamosc | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 24 | 29 |
| 6 | Czarni Połaniec | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 28 |
A question about Czarni Połaniec vs Hetman Zamosc?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Czarni Połaniec vs Hetman Zamosc?
- The Footlab AI model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Hetman Zamosc.
- Where and when is Czarni Połaniec vs Hetman Zamosc played?
- Czarni Połaniec vs Hetman Zamosc is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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