Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Chełmianka Chełm played?

Star Starachowice vs Chełmianka Chełm is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Star Starachowice vs Chełmianka Chełm: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Starachowice

Star Starachowice

Chełmianka Chełm

The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Star Starachowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Star Starachowice vs Chełmianka Chełm?

Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,765).

Star Starachowice win30 %

Draw27 %

Chełmianka Chełm win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Star Starachowice have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chełmianka Chełm have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Star Starachowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026	KSZO 1929(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 4

Chełmianka Chełm
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Naprzód(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Moravia Morawica(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Star Starachowice win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Chełmianka Chełm win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm 5-2 Star Starachowice	III Liga - Group 4
Oct 18, 2025	Star Starachowice 1-1 Chełmianka Chełm	III Liga - Group 4
Nov 23, 2024	Chełmianka Chełm 1-1 Star Starachowice	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 3, 2024	Star Starachowice 5-1 Chełmianka Chełm	III Liga - Group 4
Apr 20, 2024	Star Starachowice 1-1 Chełmianka Chełm	III Liga - Group 4
Sep 23, 2023	Chełmianka Chełm 2-0 Star Starachowice	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Star Starachowice	1.3	1.9	2	11/15	10/15
Chełmianka Chełm	2.1	0.9	8	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Star Starachowice sit 15th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	5	5	0	0	10	1	15
15	Star Starachowice	5	1	2	2	5	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Star Starachowice vs Chełmianka Chełm?: The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Star Starachowice.
Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Chełmianka Chełm played?: Star Starachowice vs Chełmianka Chełm is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.