Chelsea vs Brentford: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Brentford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelsea wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelsea vs Brentford?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Chelsea (2,133) and Brentford (2,130).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chelsea vs Brentford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chelsea
4-2-3-1- 7Pedro Neto
- 17M. Rogers
- 25M. Caicedo
- 10C. Palmer
- 45R. Lavia
- 14J. Henderson
- 6L. Colwill
- 3W. Fofana
- 2M. Palestra
- 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
- 39M. Penders
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 27V. Janelt
- 18M. Sangaré
- 11D. Ouattara
- 7K. Schade
- 33Michael Kayode
- 20K. Ajer
- 4S. van den Berg
- 2A. Hickey
- 1C. Kelleher
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Brentford have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Everton(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chelsea wins, 3 draws, 1 Brentford win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Brentford 3-0 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Chelsea 2-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Brentford 2-2 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Brentford 0-0 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Chelsea 2-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Brentford 2-2 Chelsea | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Brentford | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelsea sit 5th in Premier League (16 points from 10 matches) and Brentford sit 8th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Chelsea vs Brentford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelsea vs Brentford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Brentford.
- Where and when is Chelsea vs Brentford played?
- Chelsea vs Brentford is played on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stamford Bridge, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.