Crystal Palace vs Leeds: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Selhurst Park, London
The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Leeds. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crystal Palace wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Leeds?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Crystal Palace (2,147) and Leeds (2,208).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crystal Palace vs Leeds
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 22J. Strand Larsen
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 23Q. Timber
- 18D. Kamada
- 25A. Khalaili
- 26C. Richards
- 6J. Canvot
- 8J. Lerma
- 44W. Benítez
Leeds
3-4-2-1- 9D. Calvert-Lewin
- 4E. Ampadu
- 2J. Bogle
- 18A. Stach
- 19N. Okafor
- 22A. Tanaka
- 3G. Gudmundsson
- 5T. Muharemović
- 24J. Justin
- 30N. Elvedi
- 1J. Trafford
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crystal Palace have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Leeds have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 3-6 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crystal Palace wins, 3 draws, 1 Leeds win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leeds 0-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Leeds 4-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Leeds 1-5 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Crystal Palace 2-1 Leeds | Premier League |
| Jul 22, 2022 | Crystal Palace 1-1 Leeds | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Leeds vs Crystal Palace on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Leeds | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crystal Palace sit 12th in Premier League (7 points from 6 matches) and Leeds sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Crystal Palace vs Leeds?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Leeds?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Leeds.
- Where and when is Crystal Palace vs Leeds played?
- Crystal Palace vs Leeds is played on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Selhurst Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.