Manchester United vs Fulham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Old Trafford, Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Fulham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manchester United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manchester United vs Fulham?
On Elo ratings, Manchester United has 2,243 points and Fulham 2,156.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manchester United vs Fulham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manchester United
4-2-3-1- 19B. Mbeumo
- 18Y. Tielemans
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 16A. Diallo
- 17Andrey Santos
- 20C. Baleba
- 6Lisandro Martínez
- 5H. Maguire
- 15L. Yoro
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 1S. Lammens
Fulham
4-2-3-1- 7Gonzalo García
- 14Oscar Bobb
- 17A. Iwobi
- 24Joshua King
- 19S. Charles
- 16S. Berge
- 3C. Bassey
- 22D. Affengruber
- 21T. Castagne
- 33A. Robinson
- 1B. Leno
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester United have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Fulham have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Manchester United wins, 3 draws, 0 Fulham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fulham 1-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Manchester United 3-2 Fulham | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Fulham 1-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Manchester United 1-1 Fulham | FA Cup |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Fulham 0-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Manchester United 1-0 Fulham | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Fulham vs Manchester United on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester United score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Fulham | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchester United sit 13th in Premier League (7 points from 7 matches) and Fulham sit 17th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 17 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Manchester United vs Fulham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manchester United vs Fulham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Fulham.
- Where and when is Manchester United vs Fulham played?
- Manchester United vs Fulham is played on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Old Trafford, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.