Sunderland vs Manchester City: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 38Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester City the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Sunderland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manchester City wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunderland vs Manchester City?
Manchester City starts as the favourite with a 273-point Elo edge (2,499 vs 2,226).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sunderland vs Manchester City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 9B. Brobbey
- 34G. Xhaka
- 27N. Sadiki
- 32T. Hume
- 28E. Le Fée
- 10N. Angulo
- 17Reinildo
- 13L. O'Nien
- 20N. Mukiele
- 12T. Meunier
- 22R. Roefs
Manchester City
4-2-3-1- 9E. Haaland
- 7I. Ndiaye
- 17E. Fernández
- 5E. Anderson
- 11J. Doku
- 10R. Cherki
- 45A. Khusanov
- 3Rúben Dias
- 6M. Guéhi
- 24J. Gvardiol
- 1G. Donnarumma
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunderland have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Manchester City have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sunderland wins, 1 draw, 5 Manchester City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City 5-3 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Sunderland 0-0 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Manchester City 3-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2017 | Sunderland 0-2 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Manchester City 2-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2016 | Sunderland 0-1 Manchester City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Manchester City vs Sunderland on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sunderland score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester City score 2.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Manchester City | 2.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunderland sit 19th in Premier League (8 points from 10 matches) and Manchester City sit 3rd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 21 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 8 |
A question about Sunderland vs Manchester City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Manchester City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchester City the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Sunderland.
- Where and when is Sunderland vs Manchester City played?
- Sunderland vs Manchester City is played on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium of Light, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.