Hull City vs Newcastle: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The MKM Stadium, Hull
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hull City vs Newcastle?
Newcastle starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (2,194 vs 2,012).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hull City vs Newcastle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 25M. Crooks
- 7S. Thomas
- 10M. Belloumi
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 3R. Giles
- 15J. Egan
- 32N. Mendy
- 19K. Tzolakis
Newcastle
4-2-3-1- 20M. Fernandez-Pardo
- 11H. Barnes
- 9Y. Wissa
- 23J. Murphy
- 28J. Willock
- 6Nico González
- 4S. Botman
- 3L. Hall
- 12M. Thiaw
- 67L. Miley
- 21L. Horníček
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hull City have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Newcastle have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hull City wins, 2 draws, 4 Newcastle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle 2-1 Hull City | Premier League |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Hull City 0-2 Newcastle | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 29, 2016 | Hull City 1-1 Newcastle | League Cup |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Hull City 0-3 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Newcastle 2-2 Hull City | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Hull City 1-4 Newcastle | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle vs Hull City on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hull City score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Newcastle | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hull City sit 8th in Premier League (9 points from 6 matches) and Newcastle sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Hull City vs Newcastle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Newcastle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Hull City vs Newcastle played?
- Hull City vs Newcastle is played on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The MKM Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.