Cheltenham vs Shrewsbury: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 45Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Cheltenham the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cheltenham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,471 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Shrewsbury?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Cheltenham (1,685) and Shrewsbury (1,652).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cheltenham vs Shrewsbury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cheltenham
4-2-3-1- 18A. Weimann
- 19J. Evans
- 8C. McCann
- 7B. Stevenson
- 33F. Willcox
- 17S. McWilliams
- 25P. Sweeney
- 26J. Shipley
- 6J. Wilson
- 3J. Tomkinson
- 23W. Stanway
Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2- 9G. Lloyd
- 13J. Davison
- 10T. Sang
- 11K. Berkoe
- 18K. M. Brown
- 2L. Hoole
- 17Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
- 6S. Stubbs
- 5W. Boyle
- 3J. Ruffels
- 1William Michael Brook
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Shrewsbury have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Cheltenham wins, 0 draws, 1 Shrewsbury win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Shrewsbury 0-2 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Cheltenham 3-1 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Shrewsbury 1-0 Cheltenham | League One |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Shrewsbury 0-1 Cheltenham | League One |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
Last archived meeting: Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cheltenham score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shrewsbury score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Shrewsbury | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cheltenham sit 5th in League Two (21 points from 14 matches) and Shrewsbury sit 15th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 21 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
A question about Cheltenham vs Shrewsbury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cheltenham vs Shrewsbury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cheltenham the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Cheltenham vs Shrewsbury played?
- Cheltenham vs Shrewsbury is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Completely-Suzuki Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.