Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Bałtyk Koszalin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, Bydgoszcz

Chemik Bydgoszcz

Bałtyk Koszalin

The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Bałtyk Koszalin?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724) and Bałtyk Koszalin (1,653).

Chemik Bydgoszcz win47 %

Draw24 %

Bałtyk Koszalin win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bałtyk Koszalin have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chemik Bydgoszcz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Luzino(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Lech Poznań II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	3-3	III Liga - Group 2

Bałtyk Koszalin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kalisz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Luzino(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 13; Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chemik Bydgoszcz	2.2	1.8	2	10/13	9/13
Bałtyk Koszalin	1.1	1.7	2	9/15	8/15

Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Bałtyk Koszalin	5	1	2	2	4	7	5
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	5	0	3	2	7	12	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Bałtyk Koszalin?: The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?: Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.