Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lech Poznań II played?

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lech Poznań II is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lech Poznań II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, Bydgoszcz

Chemik Bydgoszcz

Lech Poznań II

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lech Poznań II?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724) and Lech Poznań II (1,779).

Chemik Bydgoszcz win36 %

Draw24 %

Lech Poznań II win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lech Poznań II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chemik Bydgoszcz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Luzino(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Lech Poznań II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	3-3	III Liga - Group 2

Lech Poznań II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	5-2	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Chemik Bydgoszcz win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lech Poznań II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Lech Poznań II 1-1 Chemik Bydgoszcz	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Lech Poznań II vs Chemik Bydgoszcz on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 13; Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chemik Bydgoszcz	2.2	1.8	2	10/13	9/13
Lech Poznań II	2.1	1.9	3	11/15	12/15

Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznań II sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Lech Poznań II	5	3	1	1	12	9	10
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	5	0	3	2	7	12	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lech Poznań II?: The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lech Poznań II played?: Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lech Poznań II is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.