Elana Toruń vs Wda Świecie: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń
The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elana Toruń vs Wda Świecie?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Elana Toruń (1,694) and Wda Świecie (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Wda Świecie have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Elana Toruń win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wda Świecie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Elana Toruń 0-1 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Wda Świecie 2-5 Elana Toruń | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Wda Świecie 1-1 Elana Toruń | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Elana Toruń 2-0 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Elana Toruń vs Wda Świecie on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elana Toruń | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elana Toruń sit 12th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Wda Świecie sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 12 | Elana Toruń | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Wda Świecie?
- The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Elana Toruń.
- Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Wda Świecie played?
- Elana Toruń vs Wda Świecie is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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