Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, Gdańsk
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino?
Luzino starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gedania Gdansk have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Luzino have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 5-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Gedania Gdansk win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Luzino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025 | Gedania Gdansk 0-1 Luzino | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Gedania Gdansk 1-1 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Gedania Gdansk 2-1 Luzino | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Luzino 1-2 Gedania Gdansk | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2023 | Luzino 3-3 Gedania Gdansk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino on Jan 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gedania Gdansk | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gedania Gdansk sit 10th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Luzino sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Gedania Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Gedania Gdansk.
- Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino played?
- Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsBałtyk Koszalin
- Sep 5, 2026Elana ToruńvsWda Świecie
- Sep 5, 2026Stargard SzczecińskivsKotwica Kórnik
- Sep 5, 2026Unia SwarzędzvsLech Poznań II
- Sep 5, 2026Victoria WrześniavsKalisz
- Sep 5, 2026Noteć CzarnkówvsKluczevia Stargard
- Sep 5, 2026Grom Nowy StawvsPolonia Środa
- Sep 5, 2026Lipno StęszewvsFlota Świnoujście