Match

Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, Gdańsk

Gedania GdanskLuzino

The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino?

Luzino starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,666).

Gedania Gdansk win15 %
Draw16 %
Luzino win68 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gedania Gdansk have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Luzino have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gedania Gdansk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(away)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Wda Świecie(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Elana Toruń(away)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026Noteć Czarnków(home)5-3III Liga - Group 2
Luzino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Victoria Września(away)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)6-2III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Gedania Gdansk win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Luzino win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2025Gedania Gdansk 0-1 LuzinoFriendlies Clubs
Mar 22, 2024Gedania Gdansk 1-1 LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2
Jan 20, 2024Gedania Gdansk 2-1 LuzinoFriendlies Clubs
Aug 27, 2023Luzino 1-2 Gedania GdanskIII Liga - Group 2
Jul 26, 2023Luzino 3-3 Gedania GdanskFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino on Jan 31, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gedania Gdansk1.52.318/1510/15
Luzino2.31.3310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gedania Gdansk sit 10th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Luzino sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Luzino531114710
10Gedania Gdansk513112116

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino?
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Gedania Gdansk.
Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino played?
Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gedania Gdansk and Luzino

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