Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chemnitz, Chemnitz
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Greifswalder FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder FC?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Chemnitzer FC (1,991) and Greifswalder FC (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chemnitzer FC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Greifswalder FC have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chemnitzer FC win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Greifswalder FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Greifswalder FC 0-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 1-0 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 2-2 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 1-1 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 0-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Chemnitzer FC 1-2 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Greifswalder FC | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Greifswalder FC sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder FC?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Greifswalder FC.
- Where and when is Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder FC played?
- Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder FC is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chemnitz, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026FSV ZwickauvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Nov 8, 2026Hallescher FCvsLuckenwalde
- Nov 8, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsBFC Preussen
- Nov 8, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsBFC Dynamo
- Nov 8, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Nov 8, 2026AltglienickevsTasmania Berlin
- Nov 8, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsMagdeburg II
- Nov 8, 2026RSV EintrachtvsErzgebirge Aue