RSV Eintracht vs Erzgebirge Aue: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Heinrich-Zille-Straße, Stahnsdorf
The Footlab model makes RSV Eintracht the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RSV Eintracht vs Erzgebirge Aue?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate RSV Eintracht (1,883) and Erzgebirge Aue (1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RSV Eintracht have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Erzgebirge Aue have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
How many goals should we expect?
RSV Eintracht score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Erzgebirge Aue score 2.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSV Eintracht | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 2.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RSV Eintracht sit 12th in Regionalliga - Nordost (6 points from 5 matches) and Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erzgebirge Aue | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | RSV Eintracht | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RSV Eintracht vs Erzgebirge Aue?
- The Footlab model makes RSV Eintracht the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Erzgebirge Aue.
- Where and when is RSV Eintracht vs Erzgebirge Aue played?
- RSV Eintracht vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Heinrich-Zille-Straße, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026FSV ZwickauvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Nov 8, 2026Hallescher FCvsLuckenwalde
- Nov 8, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsBFC Preussen
- Nov 8, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsGreifswalder FC
- Nov 8, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsBFC Dynamo
- Nov 8, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Nov 8, 2026AltglienickevsTasmania Berlin
- Nov 8, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsMagdeburg II