FSV Zwickau vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)GGZ Arena, Zwickau
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for FSV Zwickau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FSV Zwickau vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate FSV Zwickau (1,927) and Lokomotive Leipzig (1,989).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Zwickau have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FSV Zwickau win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2025 | FSV Zwickau 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 28, 2025 | FSV Zwickau 2-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 3-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 19, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Dec 9, 2023 | FSV Zwickau 3-2 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotive Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FSV Zwickau score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Zwickau | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FSV Zwickau sit 10th in Regionalliga - Nordost (7 points from 5 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FSV Zwickau vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for FSV Zwickau.
- Where and when is FSV Zwickau vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?
- FSV Zwickau vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at GGZ Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026Hallescher FCvsLuckenwalde
- Nov 8, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsBFC Preussen
- Nov 8, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsGreifswalder FC
- Nov 8, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsBFC Dynamo
- Nov 8, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Nov 8, 2026AltglienickevsTasmania Berlin
- Nov 8, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsMagdeburg II
- Nov 8, 2026RSV EintrachtvsErzgebirge Aue