Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig

BSG Chemie Leipzig

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,799).

BSG Chemie Leipzig win16 %

Draw21 %

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win63 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BSG Chemie Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	RSV Eintracht(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Hallescher FC(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	BFC Dynamo(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	5-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026	Magdeburg II(home)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	6-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-2 BSG Chemie Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 16, 2025	BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Mar 14, 2025	BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 21, 2024	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 5-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Feb 2, 2024	BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 16, 2023	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-2 BSG Chemie Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
BSG Chemie Leipzig	1.1	1.3	2	6/15	5/15
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2.7	1.1	5	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (1 points from 6 matches) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	6	5	1	0	22	4	16
18	BSG Chemie Leipzig	6	0	1	5	1	8	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?: The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.