Altglienicke vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Friedrich-Ludwig-Jahn-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Altglienicke the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Altglienicke vs Tasmania Berlin?
Altglienicke starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altglienicke have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 3-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Altglienicke win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025 | Tasmania Berlin 1-4 Altglienicke | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2024 | Tasmania Berlin 0-2 Altglienicke | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 5, 2022 | Altglienicke 5-1 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Tasmania Berlin 1-1 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs Altglienicke on Jan 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Altglienicke score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altglienicke | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Altglienicke sit 3rd in Regionalliga - Nordost (11 points from 5 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Altglienicke | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Altglienicke vs Tasmania Berlin?
- The Footlab model makes Altglienicke the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Tasmania Berlin.
- Where and when is Altglienicke vs Tasmania Berlin played?
- Altglienicke vs Tasmania Berlin is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Friedrich-Ludwig-Jahn-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026FSV ZwickauvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Nov 8, 2026Hallescher FCvsLuckenwalde
- Nov 8, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsBFC Preussen
- Nov 8, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsGreifswalder FC
- Nov 8, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsBFC Dynamo
- Nov 8, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Nov 8, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsMagdeburg II
- Nov 8, 2026RSV EintrachtvsErzgebirge Aue