SV Babelsberg 03 vs BFC Dynamo: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, Potsdam
The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for BFC Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Babelsberg 03 vs BFC Dynamo?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate SV Babelsberg 03 (1,862) and BFC Dynamo (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Babelsberg 03 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; BFC Dynamo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 BFC Dynamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03 2-2 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 30, 2025 | BFC Dynamo 0-4 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 0-2 BFC Dynamo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 15, 2024 | BFC Dynamo 3-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 3, 2024 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: SV Babelsberg 03 vs BFC Dynamo on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Dynamo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| BFC Dynamo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Babelsberg 03 sit 12th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 5 matches) and BFC Dynamo sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| 13 | BFC Dynamo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Babelsberg 03 vs BFC Dynamo?
- The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for BFC Dynamo.
- Where and when is SV Babelsberg 03 vs BFC Dynamo played?
- SV Babelsberg 03 vs BFC Dynamo is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026FSV ZwickauvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Nov 8, 2026Hallescher FCvsLuckenwalde
- Nov 8, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsBFC Preussen
- Nov 8, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsGreifswalder FC
- Nov 8, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Nov 8, 2026AltglienickevsTasmania Berlin
- Nov 8, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsMagdeburg II
- Nov 8, 2026RSV EintrachtvsErzgebirge Aue