Olympic Varna vs Benkovski Isperih: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Benkovski Isperih the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Olympic Varna. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympic Varna vs Benkovski Isperih?
Benkovski Isperih starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,516 vs 1,405).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympic Varna have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Benkovski Isperih have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(away) | 4-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 4-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Ludogorets III(away) | 0-8 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Aksakovo(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Olympic Varna win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Benkovski Isperih win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih 5-0 Olympic Varna | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Olympic Varna 4-1 Benkovski Isperih | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Benkovski Isperih vs Olympic Varna on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympic Varna score 1.7 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Benkovski Isperih score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic Varna | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Benkovski Isperih | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Olympic Varna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympic Varna vs Benkovski Isperih?
- The Footlab model makes Benkovski Isperih the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Olympic Varna.
- Where and when is Olympic Varna vs Benkovski Isperih played?
- Olympic Varna vs Benkovski Isperih is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.