Cherno more II vs Devnya 2005: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Cherno More Sports Complex, Varna
The Footlab AI model makes Cherno more II the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Devnya 2005. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cherno more II wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cherno more II vs Devnya 2005?
Cherno more II starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,509 vs 1,407).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cherno more II vs Devnya 2005
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cherno more II
Not enough data to predict the Cherno more II lineup.
Devnya 2005
Not enough data to predict the Devnya 2005 lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cherno more II have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Devnya 2005 have 3, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Riltzi(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olympic Varna(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aksakovo(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Septemvri Dragoevo(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fratria II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 2-5 | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Cherno more II score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Devnya 2005 score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno more II | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Devnya 2005 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 3/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cherno more II sit 7th in Third League - Northeast (11 points from 8 matches) and Devnya 2005 sit 9th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cherno more II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Cherno more II vs Devnya 2005?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cherno more II vs Devnya 2005?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cherno more II the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Devnya 2005.
- Where and when is Cherno more II vs Devnya 2005 played?
- Cherno more II vs Devnya 2005 is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Cherno More Sports Complex, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.