Montana vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montana vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Montana (1,627) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Montana win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Montana 2-2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | Second League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0-1 Montana | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Montana vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on Apr 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montana vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
- The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
- Where and when is Montana vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas played?
- Montana vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsLudogorets II
- Apr 17, 2027NesebarvsVihren
- Apr 17, 2027Spartak PlevenvsFratria
- Apr 17, 2027DobrudzhavsHebar 1918
- Apr 17, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsRilski Sportist
- Apr 17, 2027Yantra 2019vsBeroe
- Apr 17, 2027MarekvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Apr 17, 2027Sportist SvogevsCSKA Sofia II