Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Efbet Arena, Burgas
The Footlab model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,690 vs 1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on Apr 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 15th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
- The Footlab model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?
- Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Efbet Arena, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.