Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Beroe (1,657) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,651).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Beroe win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2024 | Beroe 0-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Beroe 3-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | First League |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Beroe 0-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | First League |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Beroe 1-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-2 Beroe | First League |
| Apr 12, 2021 | Beroe 1-2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | First League |
Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo on Jun 26, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Beroe score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beroe sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
- The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo.
- Where and when is Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo played?
- Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027CSKA Sofia IIvsFratria
- Mar 13, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsMontana
- Mar 13, 2027Hebar 1918vsLudogorets II
- Mar 13, 2027VihrenvsSpartak Pleven
- Mar 13, 2027Yantra 2019vsNesebar
- Mar 13, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Mar 13, 2027MarekvsSportist Svoge
- Mar 13, 2027Rilski SportistvsDobrudzha