Match

Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora

BeroeEtar Veliko Tarnovo

The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Beroe (1,657) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,651).

Beroe win46 %
Draw27 %
Etar Veliko Tarnovo win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beroe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Spartak Pleven(home)3-0Second League
Aug 14, 2026Fratria(away)0-2Second League
Aug 10, 2026Ludogorets II(home)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-1Second League
Jul 24, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-1Second League
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-2Second League
Aug 15, 2026Rilski Sportist(home)1-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Marek(home)1-0Second League
Aug 3, 2026Yantra 2019(home)2-1Second League
Jul 25, 2026Nesebar(away)5-1Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Beroe win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 26, 2024Beroe 0-0 Etar Veliko TarnovoFriendlies Clubs
Apr 29, 2024Beroe 3-0 Etar Veliko TarnovoFirst League
Dec 11, 2023Beroe 0-0 Etar Veliko TarnovoFirst League
Sep 8, 2023Beroe 1-0 Etar Veliko TarnovoFriendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2023Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-2 BeroeFirst League
Apr 12, 2021Beroe 1-2 Etar Veliko TarnovoFirst League

Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo on Jun 26, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Beroe score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beroe1.10.965/157/15
Etar Veliko Tarnovo1.71.739/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Beroe sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Etar Veliko Tarnovo531110510
12Beroe4202446

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo.
Where and when is Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo played?
Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Beroe and Etar Veliko Tarnovo

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