Vihren vs Spartak Pleven: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Sandanski
The Footlab model makes Vihren the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Spartak Pleven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vihren vs Spartak Pleven?
Vihren starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,606).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vihren have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Spartak Pleven have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marek(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Montana(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Vihren win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Spartak Pleven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Spartak Pleven 2-3 Vihren | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Vihren 1-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Pleven vs Vihren on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vihren score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vihren | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Spartak Pleven | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vihren sit 6th in Second League (8 points from 4 matches) and Spartak Pleven sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vihren | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Spartak Pleven | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vihren vs Spartak Pleven?
- The Footlab model makes Vihren the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Spartak Pleven.
- Where and when is Vihren vs Spartak Pleven played?
- Vihren vs Spartak Pleven is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027BeroevsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Mar 13, 2027CSKA Sofia IIvsFratria
- Mar 13, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsMontana
- Mar 13, 2027Hebar 1918vsLudogorets II
- Mar 13, 2027Yantra 2019vsNesebar
- Mar 13, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Mar 13, 2027MarekvsSportist Svoge
- Mar 13, 2027Rilski SportistvsDobrudzha