Where and when is Marek vs Sportist Svoge played?

Marek vs Sportist Svoge is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marek vs Sportist Svoge: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa

Marek

Sportist Svoge

The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marek vs Sportist Svoge?

Marek starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,644 vs 1,541).

Marek win56 %

Draw26 %

Sportist Svoge win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sportist Svoge have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	4-2	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Montana(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 7, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Spartak Pleven(away)	1-2	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Fratria(away)	1-0	Second League

Sportist Svoge
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Yantra 2019(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Nesebar(home)	0-1	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)	1-0	Second League
Aug 2, 2026	Dobrudzha(away)	0-0	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Montana(home)	2-2	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marek win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Sportist Svoge win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 28, 2026	Sportist Svoge 3-3 Marek	Friendlies Clubs
Dec 7, 2025	Sportist Svoge 3-1 Marek	Second League
Aug 2, 2025	Marek 0-0 Sportist Svoge	Second League
Apr 26, 2025	Marek 0-0 Sportist Svoge	Second League
Oct 24, 2024	Sportist Svoge 0-2 Marek	Second League
May 3, 2024	Sportist Svoge 3-1 Marek	Second League

Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Marek on Jan 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marek	1.0	0.9	7	4/15	6/15
Sportist Svoge	0.7	1.1	6	3/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marek sit 11th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Sportist Svoge sit 16th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Marek	5	2	0	3	6	6	6
16	Sportist Svoge	5	1	2	2	3	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marek vs Sportist Svoge?: The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Sportist Svoge.
Where and when is Marek vs Sportist Svoge played?: Marek vs Sportist Svoge is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.