CSKA Sofia II vs Fratria: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Fratria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia II vs Fratria?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate CSKA Sofia II (1,737) and Fratria (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia II have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 4-3 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 CSKA Sofia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fratria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fratria 2-2 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | CSKA Sofia II 1-0 Fratria | Second League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CSKA Sofia II 4-1 Fratria | Second League |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Fratria 0-2 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia II score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia II | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fratria | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Sofia II sit 2nd in Second League (10 points from 4 matches) and Fratria sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Fratria | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia II vs Fratria?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Fratria.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia II vs Fratria played?
- CSKA Sofia II vs Fratria is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragalevtsi, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027BeroevsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Mar 13, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsMontana
- Mar 13, 2027Hebar 1918vsLudogorets II
- Mar 13, 2027VihrenvsSpartak Pleven
- Mar 13, 2027Yantra 2019vsNesebar
- Mar 13, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Mar 13, 2027MarekvsSportist Svoge
- Mar 13, 2027Rilski SportistvsDobrudzha