Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Spartak Pleven: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Efbet Arena, Burgas
The Footlab model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Spartak Pleven. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Spartak Pleven?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (1,702) and Spartak Pleven (1,606).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Spartak Pleven have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marek(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Montana(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Spartak Pleven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Spartak Pleven 1-2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | Second League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| May 2, 2024 | Spartak Pleven 1-2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | Second League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 3-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Pleven vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Spartak Pleven | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 15th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Pleven sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spartak Pleven | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Spartak Pleven?
- The Footlab model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Spartak Pleven.
- Where and when is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Spartak Pleven played?
- Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Spartak Pleven is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Efbet Arena, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.