Where and when is Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?

Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa

Marek

Pirin Blagoevgrad

The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Marek (1,631) and Pirin Blagoevgrad (1,540).

Marek win62 %

Draw23 %

Pirin Blagoevgrad win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	4-2	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Montana(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 7, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Spartak Pleven(away)	1-2	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Fratria(away)	1-0	Second League

Pirin Blagoevgrad
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Nesebar(away)	0-7	Second League
Aug 18, 2026	Hebar 1918(home)	2-3	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 3, 2026	CSKA Sofia II(home)	0-3	Second League
Jul 28, 2026	Dobrudzha(away)	1-5	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marek win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Marek	Second League
Nov 2, 2025	Marek 3-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad	Second League
Mar 22, 2025	Marek 0-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad	Second League
Sep 7, 2024	Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 Marek	Second League
Jan 31, 2024	Pirin Blagoevgrad 3-0 Marek	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2023	Pirin Blagoevgrad 3-1 Marek	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marek	1.0	0.9	7	4/15	6/15
Pirin Blagoevgrad	0.8	2.1	4	5/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marek sit 10th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Marek	5	2	0	3	6	6	6
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	5	0	0	5	3	19	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?: The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where and when is Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?: Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.