Hebar 1918 vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Hebar 1918. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Hebar 1918 (1,553) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hebar 1918 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Hebar 1918 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-1 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Hebar 1918 2-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| May 25, 2024 | Hebar 1918 3-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | First League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Hebar 1918 3-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | First League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-5 Hebar 1918 | First League |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Hebar 1918 1-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Hebar 1918 on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebar 1918 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hebar 1918 sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 1st (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 | Hebar 1918 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hebar 1918 vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
- The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Hebar 1918.
- Where and when is Hebar 1918 vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo played?
- Hebar 1918 vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026BeroevsSportist Svoge
- Sep 12, 2026Ludogorets IIvsFratria
- Sep 12, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsMontana
- Sep 12, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsNesebar
- Sep 12, 2026VihrenvsDobrudzha
- Sep 12, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsSpartak Pleven
- Sep 12, 2026MarekvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Sep 12, 2026Rilski SportistvsYantra 2019