Ludogorets II vs Fratria: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, Razgrad
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ludogorets II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets II vs Fratria?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Ludogorets II (1,630) and Fratria (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ludogorets II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Fratria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Ludogorets II 1-1 Fratria | Second League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Fratria 5-0 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Fratria 2-2 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Ludogorets II 2-0 Fratria | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets II vs Fratria on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets II | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Fratria | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets II sit 13th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Fratria sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fratria | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Ludogorets II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets II vs Fratria?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ludogorets II.
- Where and when is Ludogorets II vs Fratria played?
- Ludogorets II vs Fratria is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026BeroevsSportist Svoge
- Sep 12, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsMontana
- Sep 12, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsNesebar
- Sep 12, 2026Hebar 1918vsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Sep 12, 2026VihrenvsDobrudzha
- Sep 12, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsSpartak Pleven
- Sep 12, 2026MarekvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Sep 12, 2026Rilski SportistvsYantra 2019