Where and when is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar played?

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Gorna Oryahovitsa

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Nesebar

The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar?

Nesebar starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,698 vs 1,553).

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win31 %

Draw28 %

Nesebar win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Nesebar have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)	2-1	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Spartak Pleven(away)	1-0	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Fratria(home)	0-2	Second League
Aug 3, 2026	Ludogorets II(away)	1-2	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home)	1-1	Second League

Nesebar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)	7-0	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	1-0	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 4, 2026	Montana(away)	1-3	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)	1-5	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Nesebar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2025	Nesebar 1-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	Second League
Nov 30, 2024	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0-0 Nesebar	Second League
May 4, 2019	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1-1 Nesebar	Second League
Oct 27, 2018	Nesebar 2-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	Second League
May 19, 2018	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 3-0 Nesebar	Second League
Nov 18, 2017	Nesebar 4-2 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	Second League

Last archived meeting: Nesebar vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa on May 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	0.9	1.9	2	8/15	10/15
Nesebar	3.7	1.1	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa sit 9th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Nesebar sit 3rd (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Nesebar	5	3	0	2	12	8	9
9	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	5	2	1	2	5	6	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar?: The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa.
Where and when is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar played?: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.