Beroe vs Sportist Svoge: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beroe vs Sportist Svoge?
Beroe starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sportist Svoge have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zagorets(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Beroe win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sportist Svoge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2023 | Beroe 1-0 Sportist Svoge | First League |
Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Sportist Svoge on Jun 9, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sportist Svoge | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beroe sit 11th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Sportist Svoge sit 16th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Sportist Svoge?
- The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Sportist Svoge.
- Where and when is Beroe vs Sportist Svoge played?
- Beroe vs Sportist Svoge is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Ludogorets IIvsFratria
- Sep 12, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsMontana
- Sep 12, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsNesebar
- Sep 12, 2026Hebar 1918vsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Sep 12, 2026VihrenvsDobrudzha
- Sep 12, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsSpartak Pleven
- Sep 12, 2026MarekvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Sep 12, 2026Rilski SportistvsYantra 2019