Match

Beroe vs Sportist Svoge: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora

BeroeSportist Svoge

The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beroe vs Sportist Svoge?

Beroe starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,541).

Beroe win56 %
Draw25 %
Sportist Svoge win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sportist Svoge have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beroe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Fratria(away)0-2Second League
Aug 10, 2026Ludogorets II(home)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-1Second League
Jul 24, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-1Second League
Jul 18, 2026Zagorets(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Sportist Svoge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Yantra 2019(away)0-1Second League
Aug 16, 2026Nesebar(home)0-1Second League
Aug 9, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)1-0Second League
Aug 2, 2026Dobrudzha(away)0-0Second League
Jul 25, 2026Montana(home)2-2Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Beroe win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sportist Svoge win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 9, 2023Beroe 1-0 Sportist SvogeFirst League

Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Sportist Svoge on Jun 9, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beroe1.01.156/157/15
Sportist Svoge0.71.163/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Beroe sit 11th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Sportist Svoge sit 16th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Beroe4202446
16Sportist Svoge5122345

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Sportist Svoge?
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Sportist Svoge.
Where and when is Beroe vs Sportist Svoge played?
Beroe vs Sportist Svoge is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Beroe and Sportist Svoge

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