Match

Chertsey Town vs Frome Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey

Chertsey TownFrome Town

The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Frome Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chertsey Town vs Frome Town?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,875) and Frome Town (1,914).

Chertsey Town win41 %
Draw25 %
Frome Town win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Frome Town have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chertsey Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sholing(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Yate Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Berkhamsted(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gloucester City(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Westfield (Surrey)(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Frome Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Havant & Wville(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Evesham United(away)4-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Wimborne Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Weymouth(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chertsey Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Frome Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2025Frome Town 0-1 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 24, 2024Chertsey Town 1-1 Frome TownNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Frome Town vs Chertsey Town on Apr 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chertsey Town1.91.349/159/15
Frome Town1.80.785/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Frome Town sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chertsey Town431010410
7Frome Town4202736

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Frome Town?
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Frome Town.
Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Frome Town played?
Chertsey Town vs Frome Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chertsey Town and Frome Town

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