Chertsey Town vs Frome Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Frome Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Frome Town?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,875) and Frome Town (1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Frome Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chertsey Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Frome Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Frome Town 0-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Chertsey Town 1-1 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Frome Town vs Chertsey Town on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Frome Town sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Frome Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Frome Town.
- Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Frome Town played?
- Chertsey Town vs Frome Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Havant & WvillevsGloucester City
- Aug 29, 2026Taunton TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Aug 29, 2026Bracknell TownvsSholing
- Aug 29, 2026Evesham UnitedvsPlymouth Parkway
- Aug 29, 2026Hanwell TownvsChichester City
- Aug 29, 2026Gosport BoroughvsMalvern Town
- Aug 29, 2026Poole TownvsYate Town
- Aug 29, 2026Wimborne TownvsHanworth Villa